The Virsliga sees Ogre United take on Super Nova on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Ogre United are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ogre United's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Super Nova's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Tukums 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Super Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Ogre United and 1.3 for Super Nova. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ogre United 28%, draw 22%, Super Nova 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Super Nova to win – a 50% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ogre United 0–1 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ogre United28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Super Nova50%fair 1.99 · @2.20
2.17Expected goals
0.86Ogre United xG
1.31Super Nova xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ogre United 0.9 – 1.3 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Super Nova to win✓
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Super Nova / FT Super Nova✓
28%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.68
–
Form
Ogre United – last 4
LDLL
20 Mar
vs FK Liepaja
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Tukums
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Super Nova – last 5
WDLLD
22 Mar
@ Tukums
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs FS Jelgava
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Paide
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kalju Nomme
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ogre United and Super Nova.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Super Nova to win with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Ogre United vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Super Nova 50%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Super Nova?
Ogre United vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
