Ogre United host Tukums in the Virsliga on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Ogre United are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Ogre United and 1.4 for Tukums. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ogre United 38%, draw 23%, Tukums 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ogre United 1–1 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ogre United38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Tukums39%fair 2.56 · @2.45
2.72Expected goals
1.35Ogre United xG
1.37Tukums xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ogre United 1.3 – 1.4 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tukums to win✗
39%
2.56
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tukums / FT Tukums✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Form
Ogre United – last 2
LL
6 Mar
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tukums – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ FS Jelgava
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ogre United and Tukums.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ogre United vs Tukums?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tukums 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Tukums?
Ogre United vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
