Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✗47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils host Grobiņa in the Virsliga on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadions Celtnieks. BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for BFC Daugavpils and 1.3 for Grobiņa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 47%, draw 21%, Grobiņa 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 1–1 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils47%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.45
Grobiņa33%fair 3.04 · @2.95
3.00Expected goals
1.65BFC Daugavpils xG
1.34Grobiņa xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 1.7 – 1.3 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BFC Daugavpils to win✗
47%
2.15
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BFC Daugavpils / FT BFC Daugavpils✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Form
BFC Daugavpils – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ Suduva Marijampole
3–5
L
3.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Grobiņa – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BFC Daugavpils and Grobiņa.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grobiņa 33%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 1–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa?
BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
