Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win @ 1.82 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampaio Corrêa RJ to win ✗62% · @1.82
Double chanceSampaio Corrêa RJ or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.22
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES preview and prediction
The match
Sampaio Corrêa RJ host Desportiva ES in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 18 February, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estádio Lourival Gomes de Almeida.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ and 0.6 for Desportiva ES. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%.
Safer route: Sampaio Corrêa RJ or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win at 1.82 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 Desportiva ES. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampaio Corrêa RJ62%fair 1.62 · @1.82
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Desportiva ES12%fair 8.53 · @4.35
2.38Expected goals
1.73Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
0.65Desportiva ES xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.7 – 0.6 Desportiva ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win✗
62%
1.62
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Sampaio Corrêa RJ or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Sampaio Corrêa RJ ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampaio Corrêa RJ / FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.22
–
Form
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
No recent results on record.
Desportiva ES
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Desportiva ES.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
On our numbers Sampaio Corrêa RJ have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Desportiva ES 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 Desportiva ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Lourival Gomes de Almeida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3