Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Greenville Triumph or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 55% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +97%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗55% · @3.60
Double chanceGreenville Triumph or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7% · fair 14.39
Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph preview and prediction
The match
Greenville Triumph travel to Greenwood Field in the US Open Cup on Wednesday 18 March (23:30 WAT) to face Asheville City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Asheville City and 1.8 for Greenville Triumph. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Asheville City 19%, draw 55%, Greenville Triumph 26%.
Safer route: Greenville Triumph or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Draw at 3.60 – 55% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Greenville Triumph or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Asheville City 1–1 Greenville Triumph. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asheville City19%fair 5.22 · @2.80
Draw55%fair 1.82 · @3.60
Greenville Triumph26%fair 3.84 · @2.05
3.41Expected goals
1.62Asheville City xG
1.79Greenville Triumph xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Asheville City 1.6 – 1.8 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.82
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Greenville Triumph or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Greenville Triumph / FT Greenville Triumph✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
7%
14.39
–
Form
Asheville City
No recent results on record.
Greenville Triumph – last 1
L
15 Mar
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asheville City and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Greenville Triumph or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Asheville City have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Greenville Triumph 26%.
How many goals will there be in Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Asheville City 1–1 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph?
Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph (US Open Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Greenwood Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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