Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace preview and prediction
The match
The US Open Cup sees Indy Eleven take on Des Moines Menace on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for Indy Eleven and 0.9 for Des Moines Menace. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Indy Eleven to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Indy Eleven 2–0 Des Moines Menace. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indy Eleven68%fair 1.46 · @1.45
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.65
Des Moines Menace12%fair 8.26 · @6.00
3.28Expected goals
2.36Indy Eleven xG
0.92Des Moines Menace xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 2.4 – 0.9 Des Moines Menace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✓
68%
1.46
1.45
Double chance
Indy Eleven or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Half-time result
Indy Eleven ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Indy Eleven
No recent results on record.
Des Moines Menace
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Des Moines Menace.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
Our pick is Indy Eleven to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Des Moines Menace 12%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 2–0 Des Moines Menace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace?
Indy Eleven vs Des Moines Menace (US Open Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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