Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: AD Marco 09 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAD Marco 09 to win59% · @1.91
Double chanceAD Marco 09 or draw86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 5.05
AD Marco 09 vs SC Braga B preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees AD Marco 09 take on SC Braga B on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Municipal de Marco de Canaveses.
Form guide
AD Marco 09's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Fafe 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
SC Braga B's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Sanjoanense 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished SC Braga B 2–0 AD Marco 09.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for AD Marco 09 and 0.5 for SC Braga B. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Marco 09 59%, draw 26%, SC Braga B 14%.
Safer route: AD Marco 09 or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: AD Marco 09 to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AD Marco 09 or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AD Marco 09 1–0 SC Braga B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Marco 0959%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
SC Braga B14%fair 6.98 · @3.90
1.98Expected goals
1.44AD Marco 09 xG
0.54SC Braga B xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: AD Marco 09 1.4 – 0.5 SC Braga B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs SC Braga B?
Our pick is AD Marco 09 or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs SC Braga B?
On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SC Braga B 14%.
How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs SC Braga B?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Marco 09 vs SC Braga B?
Our predicted score is AD Marco 09 1–0 SC Braga B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is AD Marco 09 vs SC Braga B?
AD Marco 09 vs SC Braga B (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Marco de Canaveses.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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