Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAcademica to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceAcademica or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.12
União Santarém vs Academica preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees União Santarém take on Academica on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Form guide
União Santarém's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with Guimaraes B 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for União Santarém and 1.7 for Academica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 40%.
Our pre-match pick was Academica to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: União Santarém 0–1 Academica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União Santarém13%fair 7.84 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.25
Academica63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
2.35Expected goals
0.64União Santarém xG
1.71Academica xG
40%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: União Santarém 0.6 – 1.7 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academica to win✗
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Academica or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Academica ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academica / FT Academica✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.12
–
Form
União Santarém – last 4
DLWL
19 Apr
@ Guimaraes B
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Mafra
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs Mafra
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Guimaraes B
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Academica – last 2
LD
4 Apr
@ Guimaraes B
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Amarante
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and Academica.
What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Academica?
Our pick is Academica to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win União Santarém vs Academica?
On our numbers União Santarém have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Academica 63%.
How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs Academica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Academica?
Our predicted score is União Santarém 0–1 Academica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is União Santarém vs Academica?
União Santarém vs Academica (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.