The Liga 3 sees Paredes take on Fafe on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Municipal das Laranjeiras. Paredes are 1st with 22 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Fafe sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Paredes's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to SC Braga B 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Fafe's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Sanjoanense 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Paredes and 1.1 for Fafe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paredes 39%, draw 26%, Fafe 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paredes 1–1 Fafe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paredes39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
Fafe35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
2.24Expected goals
1.15Paredes xG
1.09Fafe xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Paredes 1.2 – 1.1 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paredes to win✗
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paredes / FT Paredes✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Paredes – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
@ SC Braga B
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sanjoanense
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ AD Marco 09
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fafe – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
vs Sanjoanense
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ São João Ver
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs SC Braga B
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paredes and Fafe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Paredes vs Fafe?
On our numbers Paredes have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fafe 35%.
How many goals will there be in Paredes vs Fafe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paredes vs Fafe?
Our predicted score is Paredes 1–1 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paredes vs Fafe?
Paredes vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amarante1
Sanjoanense1
SC Braga B1