Value bet: São João Ver to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAD Marco 09 to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver preview and prediction
The match
São João Ver travel to Municipal de Marco de Canaveses in the Liga 3 on Sunday 1 March (16:00 WAT) to face AD Marco 09. AD Marco 09 are 3rd with 14 points from 9 games (in the top four), while São João Ver sit 9th on 9 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for AD Marco 09 and 0.9 for São João Ver. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Marco 09 43%, draw 23%, São João Ver 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: São João Ver to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: AD Marco 09 1–1 São João Ver. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Marco 0943%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
São João Ver34%fair 2.95 · @3.50
2.03Expected goals
1.10AD Marco 09 xG
0.93São João Ver xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: AD Marco 09 1.1 – 0.9 São João Ver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Marco 09 to win✓
43%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Marco 09 / FT AD Marco 09✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
AD Marco 09 – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ SC Braga B
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs Paredes
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
São João Ver – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Fafe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Marco 09 and São João Ver.
What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver?
On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and São João Ver 34%.
How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver?
Our predicted score is AD Marco 09 1–1 São João Ver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver?
AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Marco de Canaveses.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanjoanense2
SC Braga B1
Amarante2