Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFafe to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceFafe or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Fafe vs Sanjoanense preview and prediction
The match
Fafe host Sanjoanense in the Liga 3 on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Fafe and 0.8 for Sanjoanense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fafe 65%, draw 19%, Sanjoanense 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fafe to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Fafe 1–0 Sanjoanense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fafe65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.90
Sanjoanense15%fair 6.57 · @6.50
2.65Expected goals
1.90Fafe xG
0.75Sanjoanense xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.9 – 0.8 Sanjoanense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Fafe or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Fafe ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Fafe – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ São João Ver
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs SC Braga B
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanjoanense – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Paredes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fafe and Sanjoanense.
Our pick is Fafe to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
On our numbers Fafe have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sanjoanense 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 Sanjoanense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
Fafe vs Sanjoanense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SC Braga B1
Amarante2