Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaldas to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceCaldas or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39
Caldas vs 1º Dezembro preview and prediction
The match
Caldas host 1º Dezembro in the Liga 3 on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Campo da Mata.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Caldas and 0.6 for 1º Dezembro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caldas 63%, draw 25%, 1º Dezembro 12%.
Safer route: Caldas or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Caldas to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Caldas 1–0 1º Dezembro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caldas63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
1º Dezembro12%fair 8.32 · @3.80
2.16Expected goals
1.60Caldas xG
0.551º Dezembro xG
37%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Caldas 1.6 – 0.6 1º Dezembro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldas to win✓
63%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Caldas or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldas / FT Caldas✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.39
–
Form
Caldas
No recent results on record.
1º Dezembro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and 1º Dezembro.
Our pick is Caldas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?
On our numbers Caldas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and 1º Dezembro 12%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?
Our predicted score is Caldas 1–0 1º Dezembro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?
Caldas vs 1º Dezembro (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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