Guimaraes B vs União Santarém prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Guimaraes B to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuimaraes B to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chanceGuimaraes B or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81
Guimaraes B vs União Santarém preview and prediction
The match
Guimaraes B host União Santarém in the Liga 3 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Academia Vitoria SC. Guimaraes B are 5th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while União Santarém sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guimaraes B's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Academica 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
União Santarém's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Mafra 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Guimaraes B arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished União Santarém 0–1 Guimaraes B.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Guimaraes B and 0.6 for União Santarém. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 40%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guimaraes B 63%, draw 24%, União Santarém 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guimaraes B to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guimaraes B 1–0 União Santarém. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guimaraes B63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.55
União Santarém13%fair 7.70 · @4.60
2.27Expected goals
1.67Guimaraes B xG
0.60União Santarém xG
40%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.7 – 0.6 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?
Our pick is Guimaraes B to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?
On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and União Santarém 13%.
How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?
Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 1–0 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?
Guimaraes B vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amarante4
1º Dezembro0
Amora1
SC Braga B1
Sanjoanense2
Academica