Value bet: CF Os Belenenses to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.86
Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses preview and prediction
The match
Trofense host CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3 on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Trofense are 10th with 5 points from 9 games (in the top half), while CF Os Belenenses sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trofense's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Guimaraes B 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Trofense and 1.4 for CF Os Belenenses. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trofense 30%, draw 23%, CF Os Belenenses 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: CF Os Belenenses to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Trofense 1–1 CF Os Belenenses. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trofense30%fair 3.35 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
CF Os Belenenses48%fair 2.10 · @2.30
2.38Expected goals
1.01Trofense xG
1.37CF Os Belenenses xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Trofense 1.0 – 1.4 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✓
48%
2.10
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.86
–
Form
Trofense – last 3
WLD
15 Mar
@ Guimaraes B
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Amarante
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Mafra
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CF Os Belenenses – last 2
LD
1 Mar
vs Amarante
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guimaraes B
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trofense and CF Os Belenenses.
What is the prediction for Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?
On our numbers Trofense have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CF Os Belenenses 48%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?
Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
