Chiangrai United vs Prachuap prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 65% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChiangrai United to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.77
Chiangrai United vs Prachuap preview and prediction
The match
Chiangrai United host Prachuap in the FA Cup on Wednesday 25 February, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Leo Chiangrai Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.3 for Chiangrai United and 2.2 for Prachuap. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chiangrai United 39%, draw 24%, Prachuap 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 65% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chiangrai United 2–2 Prachuap. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chiangrai United39%fair 2.55 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Prachuap37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
4.54Expected goals
2.30Chiangrai United xG
2.23Prachuap xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–16%
1–26%
1–16%
3–25%
2–35%
From our goals model: Chiangrai United 2.3 – 2.2 Prachuap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chiangrai United to win✗
39%
2.55
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.30 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.28
Half-time result
Chiangrai United ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chiangrai United / FT Chiangrai United✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.77
–
Form
Chiangrai United – last 2
LD
21 Feb
vs Chonburi FC
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Rayong FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Prachuap – last 2
WD
20 Feb
vs Rayong FC
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Ratchaburi
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chiangrai United and Prachuap.
What is the prediction for Chiangrai United vs Prachuap?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chiangrai United vs Prachuap?
On our numbers Chiangrai United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Prachuap 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chiangrai United vs Prachuap?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chiangrai United vs Prachuap?
Our predicted score is Chiangrai United 2–2 Prachuap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Chiangrai United vs Prachuap?
Chiangrai United vs Prachuap (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Leo Chiangrai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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