Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 58% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuriram United to win ✓79% · @1.08
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United preview and prediction
The match
Khon Kaen United travel to Chang Arena in the FA Cup on Wednesday 25 February (12:00 WAT) to face Buriram United.
Form guide
Buriram United's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Sukhothai FC 6–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Khon Kaen United's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Police Tero 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Buriram United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 3.4 for Buriram United and 1.2 for Khon Kaen United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 78% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 79%, draw 14%, Khon Kaen United 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 58% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Buriram United 3–1 Khon Kaen United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United79%fair 1.27 · @1.08
Draw14%fair 7.02 · @8.00
Khon Kaen United7%fair 13.84 · @21.00
4.60Expected goals
3.44Buriram United xG
1.16Khon Kaen United xG
58%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–17%
3–07%
4–17%
2–06%
4–06%
From our goals model: Buriram United 3.4 – 1.2 Khon Kaen United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✓
79%
1.27
1.08
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✓
58%
1.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.64
–
Form
Buriram United – last 3
WWW
21 Feb
vs Sukhothai FC
6–0
W
17 Feb
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ BG Pathum United
3–1
W
3.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Khon Kaen United – last 3
WLD
21 Feb
vs Police Tero
2–1
W
18 Feb
@ Songkhla
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Chanthaburi
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Khon Kaen United.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Khon Kaen United 7%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 3–1 Khon Kaen United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United?
Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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