Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTalanta to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceTalanta or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Talanta vs Mwatate United preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Talanta take on Mwatate United on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Talanta's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Kibera Black Stars 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mwatate United's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Migori Youth 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Talanta and 0.5 for Mwatate United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Talanta 66%, draw 21%, Mwatate United 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Talanta to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Talanta 1–0 Mwatate United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Talanta66%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.75
Mwatate United12%fair 8.29 · @6.50
2.19Expected goals
1.67Talanta xG
0.52Mwatate United xG
40%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Talanta 1.7 – 0.5 Mwatate United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Talanta to win✓
66%
1.50
1.44
Double chance
Talanta or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Talanta / FT Talanta✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Form
Talanta – last 6
DLWDWW
29 Mar
vs Kibera Black Stars
0–0
D
23 Mar
@ Migori Youth
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Darajani Gogo
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Soy United
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Kisumu All Stars
5–1
W
22 Feb
@ Luanda Villa
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mwatate United – last 4
WWLD
28 Mar
vs Migori Youth
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Gucha Stars
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Kabati Youth FC
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Darajani Gogo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Talanta and Mwatate United.
What is the prediction for Talanta vs Mwatate United?
Our pick is Talanta to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Talanta vs Mwatate United?
On our numbers Talanta have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mwatate United 12%.
How many goals will there be in Talanta vs Mwatate United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Talanta vs Mwatate United?
Our predicted score is Talanta 1–0 Mwatate United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Talanta vs Mwatate United?
Talanta vs Mwatate United (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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