Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMombasa Elite to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Kibera Black Stars take on Mombasa Elite on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Kibera Black Stars's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Talanta 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mombasa Elite's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Vihiga United FC 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mombasa Elite arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Kibera Black Stars and 1.1 for Mombasa Elite. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Kibera Black Stars 0–1 Mombasa Elite. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kibera Black Stars35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Mombasa Elite43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
2.05Expected goals
0.94Kibera Black Stars xG
1.10Mombasa Elite xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kibera Black Stars 0.9 – 1.1 Mombasa Elite expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mombasa Elite to win✗
43%
2.33
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mombasa Elite / FT Mombasa Elite✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Kibera Black Stars – last 3
DWW
29 Mar
@ Talanta
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Darajani Gogo
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Soy United
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mombasa Elite – last 5
WWWWW
3 Apr
vs Vihiga United FC
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs MCF
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Kabati Youth FC
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs MOFA
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Darajani Gogo
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kibera Black Stars and Mombasa Elite.
What is the prediction for Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
On our numbers Kibera Black Stars have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mombasa Elite 43%.
How many goals will there be in Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
Our predicted score is Kibera Black Stars 0–1 Mombasa Elite, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mwatate United1