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Super League · Kenya
3–1
FT

Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Mombasa Elite to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.27Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMombasa Elite to win ✓72% · @1.27
Double chanceMombasa Elite or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65

Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC preview and prediction

The match

Mombasa Elite host Vihiga United FC in the Super League on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Mombasa Elite's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat MCF 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Vihiga United FC's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Kabati Youth FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Mombasa Elite arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Mombasa Elite and 0.5 for Vihiga United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 40%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Mombasa Elite to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Mombasa Elite 1–0 Vihiga United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mombasa Elite72%fair 1.40 · @1.27
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.50
Vihiga United FC8%fair 12.88 · @10.00
2.38Expected goals
1.91Mombasa Elite xG
0.47Vihiga United FC xG
40%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%
2–017%
3–011%
0–09%
1–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Mombasa Elite 1.9 – 0.5 Vihiga United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMombasa Elite to win ✓72%1.401.27
Double chanceMombasa Elite or draw ✓92%1.081.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗60%1.68–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Half-time resultMombasa Elite ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mombasa Elite / FT Mombasa Elite ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.65–

Form

Mombasa Elite – last 4

WWWW
29 Marvs MCF3–1W
15 Marvs Kabati Youth FC2–0W
27 Febvs MOFA1–0W
20 Feb@ Darajani Gogo2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vihiga United FC – last 5

WLDLL
29 Marvs Kabati Youth FC2–1W
21 Mar@ MOFA2–3L
1 Mar@ Fortune Sacco0–0D
20 Febvs Nzoia Sugar0–4L
14 Feb@ Talanta1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mombasa Elite and Vihiga United FC.

Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC?

Our pick is Mombasa Elite to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC?

On our numbers Mombasa Elite have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vihiga United FC 8%.

How many goals will there be in Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC?

Our predicted score is Mombasa Elite 1–0 Vihiga United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC?

Mombasa Elite vs Vihiga United FC (Super League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.