Value bet: 3K to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Result3K to win39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.23
Nairobi City Stars vs 3K preview and prediction
The match
Nairobi City Stars host 3K in the Super League on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Nairobi City Stars's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with MOFA 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
3K's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Gucha Stars 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
3K arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Nairobi City Stars and 1.0 for 3K. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nairobi City Stars 36%, draw 25%, 3K 39%.
Value angle: 3K to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Nairobi City Stars 0–1 3K. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nairobi City Stars36%fair 2.77 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
3K39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
2.02Expected goals
0.98Nairobi City Stars xG
1.043K xG
42%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 1.0 – 1.0 3K expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
3K to win
39%
2.54
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.23
–
Form
Nairobi City Stars – last 4
DDWL
28 Mar
vs MOFA
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Nzoia Sugar
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Fortune Sacco
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Migori Youth
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
3K – last 4
WDWW
25 Mar
@ Gucha Stars
2–0
W
21 Mar
@ Darajani Gogo
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Kisumu All Stars
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Luanda Villa
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and 3K.
What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and 3K 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 0–1 3K, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
Nairobi City Stars vs 3K (Super League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mombasa Elite3
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