Value bet: Kibera Black Stars to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKibera Black Stars to win ✓39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.78
Darajani Gogo vs Kibera Black Stars preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Darajani Gogo take on Kibera Black Stars on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Darajani Gogo's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Migori Youth 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Darajani Gogo and 1.0 for Kibera Black Stars. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Kibera Black Stars to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Darajani Gogo 0–0 Kibera Black Stars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Darajani Gogo35%fair 2.84 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Kibera Black Stars39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
1.90Expected goals
0.91Darajani Gogo xG
0.99Kibera Black Stars xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Darajani Gogo 0.9 – 1.0 Kibera Black Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kibera Black Stars to win✓
39%
2.56
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.78
–
Form
Darajani Gogo – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
@ Migori Youth
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mombasa Elite
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Mwatate United
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kibera Black Stars – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Soy United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Darajani Gogo and Kibera Black Stars.
What is the prediction for Darajani Gogo vs Kibera Black Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Darajani Gogo vs Kibera Black Stars?
On our numbers Darajani Gogo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kibera Black Stars 39%.
How many goals will there be in Darajani Gogo vs Kibera Black Stars?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Darajani Gogo vs Kibera Black Stars?
Our predicted score is Darajani Gogo 0–0 Kibera Black Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Darajani Gogo vs Kibera Black Stars?
Darajani Gogo vs Kibera Black Stars (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mwatate United0