Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Nairobi City Stars to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNairobi City Stars to win67% · @1.53
Double chanceNairobi City Stars or draw90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.38
Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United preview and prediction
The match
Mwatate United travel to face Nairobi City Stars in the Super League on Saturday 7 March (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Nairobi City Stars's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Nzoia Sugar 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Mwatate United's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Gucha Stars 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Nairobi City Stars and 0.5 for Mwatate United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nairobi City Stars 67%, draw 23%, Mwatate United 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nairobi City Stars to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nairobi City Stars 1–0 Mwatate United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nairobi City Stars67%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Mwatate United10%fair 10.12 · @5.50
2.23Expected goals
1.73Nairobi City Stars xG
0.50Mwatate United xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 1.7 – 0.5 Mwatate United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi City Stars to win
67%
1.48
1.53
Double chance
Nairobi City Stars or draw
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Nairobi City Stars ahead at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi City Stars / FT Nairobi City Stars
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
19%
5.38
–
Form
Nairobi City Stars – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Nzoia Sugar
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Fortune Sacco
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Migori Youth
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mwatate United – last 3
WLD
28 Feb
vs Gucha Stars
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Kabati Youth FC
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Darajani Gogo
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and Mwatate United.
What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Our pick is Nairobi City Stars to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mwatate United 10%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 1–0 Mwatate United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Darajani Gogo0