Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Paide vs Kalju Nomme preview and prediction
The match
Paide host Kalju Nomme in the Meistriliiga on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Paide linnastaadion. Paide are 2nd with 64 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Kalju Nomme sit 4th on 61 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Kuressaare 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Kalju Nomme's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Flora Tallinn 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Kalju Nomme 1–1 Paide. Across their last 4 meetings Paide have won 2, Kalju Nomme 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Paide and 1.0 for Kalju Nomme. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 63%, draw 13%, Kalju Nomme 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paide 1–0 Kalju Nomme. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw13%fair 7.82 · @3.50
Kalju Nomme25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
2.76Expected goals
1.81Paide xG
0.95Kalju Nomme xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Paide 1.8 – 1.0 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Paide vs Kalju Nomme?
On our numbers Paide have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Kalju Nomme 25%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Kalju Nomme?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Kalju Nomme?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–0 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Kalju Nomme?
Paide vs Kalju Nomme (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
