Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVaprus to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Vaprus vs Kuressaare preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Vaprus take on Kuressaare on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Parnu Rannastaadion. Vaprus are 7th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Kuressaare sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vaprus's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Nõmme United 2–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Kuressaare's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Paide 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kuressaare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Kuressaare 2–2 Vaprus. Across their last 3 meetings Vaprus have won 2, Kuressaare 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Vaprus and 1.4 for Kuressaare. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vaprus 41%, draw 24%, Kuressaare 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Vaprus 1–1 Kuressaare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vaprus41%fair 2.41 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Kuressaare35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.58Vaprus xG
1.42Kuressaare xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vaprus 1.6 – 1.4 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kuressaare 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Vaprus vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
