Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kalju Nomme to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKalju Nomme to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme preview and prediction
The match
Kalju Nomme travel to Parnu Rannastaadion in the Meistriliiga on Tuesday 13 October (16:00 WAT) to face Vaprus. Vaprus are 7th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Kalju Nomme sit 4th on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vaprus's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Trans Narva 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Kalju Nomme's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Laagri 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Kalju Nomme 3–1 Vaprus. Across their last 3 meetings Vaprus have won 2, Kalju Nomme 1, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Vaprus and 2.1 for Kalju Nomme. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vaprus 12%, draw 23%, Kalju Nomme 65%.
Safer route: Kalju Nomme or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Kalju Nomme to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kalju Nomme or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vaprus 0–2 Kalju Nomme. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vaprus12%fair 8.27 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Kalju Nomme65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
3.00Expected goals
0.86Vaprus xG
2.14Kalju Nomme xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Vaprus 0.9 – 2.1 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Kalju Nomme or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kalju Nomme 65%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 0–2 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?
Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
