Nõmme United travel to Laagri kunstmurustaadion in the Meistriliiga on Tuesday 13 October (16:00 WAT) to face Laagri. Laagri are 6th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Nõmme United sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Laagri's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nõmme United's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Tammeka 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Laagri arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Nõmme United 1–2 Laagri. Across their last 2 meetings Laagri have won 1, Nõmme United 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Laagri and 1.3 for Nõmme United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laagri 58%, draw 20%, Nõmme United 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Laagri to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Laagri 2–1 Nõmme United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laagri58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.50
Nõmme United23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
3.45Expected goals
2.16Laagri xG
1.29Nõmme United xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Laagri 2.2 – 1.3 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Laagri vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Laagri to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Laagri vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Laagri have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nõmme United 23%.
How many goals will there be in Laagri vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laagri vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Laagri 2–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Laagri vs Nõmme United?
Laagri vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
