Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Flora Tallinn to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlora Tallinn to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.61
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
Flora Tallinn travel to Kuressaare Linnastaadion in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 11 October (14:30 WAT) to face Kuressaare. Kuressaare are 9th with 37 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Flora Tallinn sit 3rd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kuressaare's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Saku Sporting 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Flora Tallinn's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Vaprus 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Flora Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Flora Tallinn 2–3 Kuressaare. Across their last 3 meetings Kuressaare have won 1, Flora Tallinn 2, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Kuressaare and 2.1 for Flora Tallinn. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kuressaare 15%, draw 21%, Flora Tallinn 64%.
Safer route: Flora Tallinn or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Flora Tallinn to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flora Tallinn or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Kuressaare 0–2 Flora Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kuressaare15%fair 6.50 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.70
Flora Tallinn64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
3.07Expected goals
0.95Kuressaare xG
2.12Flora Tallinn xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.0 – 2.1 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
Our pick is Flora Tallinn or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flora Tallinn 64%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Kuressaare 0–2 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
