Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.35
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
FC Levadia Tallinn host Paide in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at A. Le Coq Arena. FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st with 91 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Levadia Tallinn's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Keila 10–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 4.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paide's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Nõmme United 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Levadia Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Paide 0–2 FC Levadia Tallinn. Across their last 3 meetings FC Levadia Tallinn have won 3, Paide 0, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for FC Levadia Tallinn and 0.9 for Paide. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Levadia Tallinn 67%, draw 21%, Paide 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Levadia Tallinn to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Levadia Tallinn67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.80
Paide12%fair 8.40 · @6.00
3.21Expected goals
2.30FC Levadia Tallinn xG
0.91Paide xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 2.3 – 0.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
Our pick is FC Levadia Tallinn to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paide 12%.
How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.