Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓10% · fair 9.63
Tammeka vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
Paide travel to Tamme Stadium in the Meistriliiga on Wednesday 9 September (17:00 WAT) to face Tammeka. Tammeka are 5th with 53 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Tammeka's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Laagri 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paide's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Tammeka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Paide 0–1 Tammeka. Across their last 2 meetings Tammeka have won 1, Paide 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Tammeka and 2.0 for Paide. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tammeka 19%, draw 17%, Paide 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tammeka 0–2 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tammeka19%fair 5.24 · @3.75
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @3.75
Paide64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.97Expected goals
0.96Tammeka xG
2.01Paide xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tammeka 1.0 – 2.0 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Tammeka vs Paide?
On our numbers Tammeka have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Paide 64%.
How many goals will there be in Tammeka vs Paide?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tammeka vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Tammeka 0–2 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tammeka vs Paide?
Tammeka vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tamme Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
