Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓77% · @1.11
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare preview and prediction
The match
Kuressaare travel to A. Le Coq Arena in the Meistriliiga on Wednesday 9 September (17:00 WAT) to face FC Levadia Tallinn. FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st with 91 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Kuressaare sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Levadia Tallinn's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Paide 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kuressaare's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Trans Narva 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
FC Levadia Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Kuressaare 1–2 FC Levadia Tallinn. Across their last 2 meetings FC Levadia Tallinn have won 2, Kuressaare 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.6 for FC Levadia Tallinn and 0.8 for Kuressaare. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Levadia Tallinn 77%, draw 15%, Kuressaare 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FC Levadia Tallinn 3–0 Kuressaare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Levadia Tallinn77%fair 1.30 · @1.11
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @7.20
Kuressaare8%fair 13.13 · @17.00
3.40Expected goals
2.65FC Levadia Tallinn xG
0.75Kuressaare xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 2.6 – 0.8 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Kuressaare 8%.
How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 3–0 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare?
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
