Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✗44% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Paide vs Flora Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
Paide host Flora Tallinn in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Paide linnastaadion. Paide are 2nd with 64 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Flora Tallinn sit 3rd on 62 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Laagri 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flora Tallinn's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Trans Narva 6–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Paide and 1.4 for Flora Tallinn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 44%, draw 22%, Flora Tallinn 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Paide 1–1 Flora Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide44%fair 2.27 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Flora Tallinn34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
3.13Expected goals
1.68Paide xG
1.45Flora Tallinn xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Paide 1.7 – 1.4 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paide to win✗
44%
2.27
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paide / FT Paide✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Form
Paide – last 6
DWWWWW
22 Apr
@ Laagri
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Kalju Nomme
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Tammeka
4–1
W
8 Apr
vs Nõmme United
3–1
W
3 Apr
@ Kuressaare
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Trans Narva
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Flora Tallinn – last 6
WLWLLL
22 Apr
vs Trans Narva
6–0
W
19 Apr
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
0–4
L
7 Apr
vs Kuressaare
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Tammeka
1–3
L
22 Mar
@ Laagri
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Kalju Nomme
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paide and Flora Tallinn.
What is the prediction for Paide vs Flora Tallinn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Paide vs Flora Tallinn?
On our numbers Paide have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Flora Tallinn 34%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Flora Tallinn?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Flora Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–1 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Flora Tallinn?
Paide vs Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.