The Meistriliiga sees Kalju Nomme take on Vaprus on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Kalju Nomme are 4th with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Vaprus sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kalju Nomme's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Nõmme United 7–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Vaprus's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Kuressaare 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Kalju Nomme arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.3 for Kalju Nomme and 0.6 for Vaprus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalju Nomme 75%, draw 17%, Vaprus 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kalju Nomme to win – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kalju Nomme 2–0 Vaprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalju Nomme75%fair 1.34 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @5.50
Vaprus8%fair 12.84 · @10.00
2.88Expected goals
2.27Kalju Nomme xG
0.61Vaprus xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kalju Nomme 2.3 – 0.6 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalju Nomme to win✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Double chance
Kalju Nomme or draw✗
92%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Kalju Nomme ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalju Nomme / FT Kalju Nomme✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.89
–
Form
Kalju Nomme – last 6
WLDWWW
22 Apr
vs Nõmme United
7–1
W
19 Apr
@ Paide
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Laagri
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Trans Narva
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Kuressaare
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vaprus – last 6
WLLWWL
21 Apr
@ Kuressaare
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Nõmme United
1–7
L
10 Mar
vs Tartu Welco
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Paide
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Trans Narva
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalju Nomme and Vaprus.
Our pick is Kalju Nomme to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Kalju Nomme have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Vaprus 8%.
How many goals will there be in Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Kalju Nomme 2–0 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus?
Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
