Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chancePaide or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Laagri vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Laagri take on Paide on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion. Laagri are 6th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Laagri's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Kalju Nomme 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Paide's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Laagri and 2.2 for Paide. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laagri 12%, draw 22%, Paide 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Laagri 0–2 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laagri12%fair 8.43 · @4.55
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.94
Paide66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
3.09Expected goals
0.88Laagri xG
2.21Paide xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Laagri 0.9 – 2.2 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paide to win✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Paide or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.47
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.58
Half-time result
Paide ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paide / FT Paide✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
Laagri – last 4
LWLW
8 Apr
vs Kalju Nomme
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Flora Tallinn
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–3
L
14 Feb
vs Riga Mariners
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paide – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Apr
vs Kalju Nomme
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Tammeka
4–1
W
8 Apr
vs Nõmme United
3–1
W
3 Apr
@ Kuressaare
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Trans Narva
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
6–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Laagri and Paide.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Laagri vs Paide?
On our numbers Laagri have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paide 66%.
How many goals will there be in Laagri vs Paide?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laagri vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Laagri 0–2 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Laagri vs Paide?
Laagri vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
