Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Kalju Nomme take on Nõmme United on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 16:45 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Kalju Nomme are 4th with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Nõmme United sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kalju Nomme's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Paide 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nõmme United's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Paide 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Kalju Nomme arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Kalju Nomme and 0.8 for Nõmme United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalju Nomme 72%, draw 18%, Nõmme United 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.64.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kalju Nomme to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Kalju Nomme 2–0 Nõmme United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalju Nomme72%fair 1.39 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.65
Nõmme United10%fair 10.09 · @6.90
3.25Expected goals
2.43Kalju Nomme xG
0.82Nõmme United xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–09%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Kalju Nomme 2.4 – 0.8 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalju Nomme to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Double chance
Kalju Nomme or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.63
Half-time result
Kalju Nomme ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalju Nomme / FT Kalju Nomme✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Form
Kalju Nomme – last 6
LDWWWW
19 Apr
@ Paide
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Laagri
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Trans Narva
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Kuressaare
4–0
W
15 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nõmme United – last 6
LDLWLL
8 Apr
@ Paide
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Tammeka
2–3
L
14 Mar
vs Vaprus
7–1
W
10 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalju Nomme and Nõmme United.
What is the prediction for Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Kalju Nomme to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Kalju Nomme have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nõmme United 10%.
How many goals will there be in Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Kalju Nomme 2–0 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United?
Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
