Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNõmme United to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceNõmme United or draw ✗81% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Nõmme United vs Tammeka preview and prediction
The match
Nõmme United host Tammeka in the Meistriliiga on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT). Nõmme United are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tammeka sit 5th on 53 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Vaprus 7–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.5 for Nõmme United and 1.3 for Tammeka. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 62%, draw 19%, Tammeka 19%.
Safer route: Nõmme United or draw (81%) at 1.40.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nõmme United or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nõmme United 2–1 Tammeka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @4.00
Tammeka19%fair 5.24 · @3.75
3.79Expected goals
2.46Nõmme United xG
1.33Tammeka xG
69%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 2.5 – 1.3 Tammeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nõmme United to win✗
62%
1.62
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Nõmme United or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.73
Half-time result
Nõmme United ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nõmme United / FT Nõmme United✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
Nõmme United – last 3
WLL
14 Mar
vs Vaprus
7–1
W
10 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
0–3
L
2.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tammeka – last 2
LW
8 Mar
vs Kalju Nomme
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Viimsi
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nõmme United and Tammeka.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
Our pick is Nõmme United or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tammeka 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 2–1 Tammeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
Nõmme United vs Tammeka (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
