Value bet: Trans Narva to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrans Narva to win61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score69% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.41
Trans Narva vs Vaprus preview and prediction
The match
Vaprus travel to Narva Kreenholmi staadion in the Meistriliiga on Saturday 21 March (13:30 WAT) to face Trans Narva. Trans Narva are 10th with 23 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Vaprus sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trans Narva's last 4: LWDW Most recently they lost to Paide 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Vaprus's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Nõmme United 1–7 away. They average 1.5 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Vaprus 0–2 Trans Narva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.7 for Trans Narva and 1.5 for Vaprus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 69%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trans Narva 61%, draw 19%, Vaprus 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Trans Narva to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trans Narva 2–1 Vaprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trans Narva61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.40
Vaprus20%fair 5.10 · @3.50
4.25Expected goals
2.70Trans Narva xG
1.55Vaprus xG
69%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 2.7 – 1.5 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vaprus 20%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Vaprus?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 2–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Vaprus?
Trans Narva vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kreenholmi staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
