New York RB II vs Philadelphia Union II prediction & analysis

New York RB II vs Philadelphia Union II preview and prediction

The match

The MLS Next Pro sees New York RB II take on Philadelphia Union II on Monday 29 June, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at MSU Soccer Park. New York RB II are 8th with 46 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Philadelphia Union II sit 11th on 43 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

New York RB II's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Toronto II 5–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Philadelphia Union II's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Orlando City II 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for New York RB II and 1.0 for Philadelphia Union II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: New York RB II 65%, draw 15%, Philadelphia Union II 20%.
• Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.36.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was New York RB II to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New York RB II 2–0 Philadelphia Union II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.