Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMinnesota United II to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.44
Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance preview and prediction
The match
Tacoma Defiance travel to Allianz Field in the MLS Next Pro on Monday 29 June (01:00 WAT) to face Minnesota United II. Minnesota United II are 5th with 45 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Tacoma Defiance sit 9th on 41 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Minnesota United II's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Los Angeles FC II 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Real Monarchs 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tacoma Defiance arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Minnesota United II and 1.1 for Tacoma Defiance. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Minnesota United II 57%, draw 18%, Tacoma Defiance 25%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Minnesota United II 1–1 Tacoma Defiance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Minnesota United II57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @3.70
Tacoma Defiance25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
2.81Expected goals
1.76Minnesota United II xG
1.05Tacoma Defiance xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Minnesota United II 1.8 – 1.1 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minnesota United II to win✗
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minnesota United II / FT Minnesota United II✗
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.44
–
Form
Minnesota United II – last 6
LWLWWL
25 Jun
@ Los Angeles FC II
0–1
L
20 Jun
vs St. Louis City II
5–2
W
14 Jun
vs Austin II
1–3
L
9 Jun
vs Sporting KC II
4–3
W
24 May
vs Colorado Rapids II
2–0
W
14 May
@ Portland Timbers II
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tacoma Defiance – last 6
WWLWWL
22 Jun
vs Real Monarchs
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs Houston Dynamo FC II
2–1
W
31 May
@ Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
23 May
vs Ventura County
1–0
W
18 May
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–0
W
11 May
@ Austin II
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minnesota United II and Tacoma Defiance.
What is the prediction for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers Minnesota United II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tacoma Defiance 25%.
How many goals will there be in Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is Minnesota United II 1–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 29 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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