Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Philadelphia Union II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Philadelphia Union II to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhiladelphia Union II to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chancePhiladelphia Union II or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.70
Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Philadelphia Union II take on Columbus Crew II on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union II are 11th with 43 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Columbus Crew II sit 4th on 48 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Philadelphia Union II's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to New England II 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Columbus Crew II's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Inter Miami II 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Columbus Crew II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Philadelphia Union II and 0.9 for Columbus Crew II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union II 66%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew II 14%.
Safer route: Philadelphia Union II or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Philadelphia Union II to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Philadelphia Union II or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union II 2–0 Columbus Crew II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union II66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.50
Columbus Crew II14%fair 7.15 · @3.75
2.95Expected goals
2.10Philadelphia Union II xG
0.85Columbus Crew II xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union II 2.1 – 0.9 Columbus Crew II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union II to win✗
66%
1.52
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Philadelphia Union II or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union II ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union II / FT Philadelphia Union II✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.70
–
Form
Philadelphia Union II – last 3
LLL
14 May
vs New England II
0–1
L
18 Apr
@ Toronto II
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Connecticut FC
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Columbus Crew II – last 3
WLW
3 May
vs Inter Miami II
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Chattanooga
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Toronto II
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union II and Columbus Crew II.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union II or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union II have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Columbus Crew II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union II 2–0 Columbus Crew II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II?
Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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