North Texas vs Sporting KC II prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
North Texas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorth Texas to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
North Texas vs Sporting KC II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees North Texas take on Sporting KC II on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Choctaw Stadium. North Texas are 10th with 40 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Sporting KC II sit 13th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
North Texas's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Minnesota United II 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sporting KC II's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Colorado Rapids II 3–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
North Texas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Sporting KC II 1–4 North Texas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for North Texas and 1.3 for Sporting KC II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: North Texas 62%, draw 17%, Sporting KC II 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was North Texas to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: North Texas 2–1 Sporting KC II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
North Texas62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @3.70
Sporting KC II21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
3.55Expected goals
2.29North Texas xG
1.26Sporting KC II xG
54%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: North Texas 2.3 – 1.3 Sporting KC II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
Our pick is North Texas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
On our numbers North Texas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sporting KC II 21%.
How many goals will there be in North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
Our predicted score is North Texas 2–1 Sporting KC II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is North Texas vs Sporting KC II?
North Texas vs Sporting KC II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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