Value bet: Arsenal Tula to win @ 3.64 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKAMAZ to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.35
KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal Tula travel to KAMAZ Stadium in the First League on Friday 27 February (16:00 WAT) to face KAMAZ. KAMAZ are 16th with 14 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Arsenal Tula sit 12th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for KAMAZ and 1.2 for Arsenal Tula. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KAMAZ 42%, draw 24%, Arsenal Tula 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.94.
Value angle: Arsenal Tula to win at 3.64 – 34% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: KAMAZ 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KAMAZ42%fair 2.38 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.28
Arsenal Tula34%fair 2.93 · @3.64
2.54Expected goals
1.35KAMAZ xG
1.18Arsenal Tula xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.4 – 1.2 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KAMAZ to win✗
42%
2.38
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.94 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KAMAZ / FT KAMAZ✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.35
–
Form
KAMAZ – last 2
WW
16 Feb
vs Lokomotiv
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Chelyabinsk
5–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KAMAZ and Arsenal Tula.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers KAMAZ have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal Tula 34%.
How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?
KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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