Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.13 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFakel to win ✓43% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.13
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.19
Fakel vs Ural preview and prediction
The match
Ural travel to Fakel Stadium in the First League on Friday 27 February (15:00 WAT) to face Fakel.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Fakel and 1.0 for Ural. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fakel 43%, draw 24%, Ural 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.13.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.13 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Fakel 1–0 Ural. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fakel43%fair 2.32 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.98
Ural33%fair 3.00 · @3.20
2.12Expected goals
1.15Fakel xG
0.96Ural xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fakel 1.2 – 1.0 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fakel to win✓
43%
2.32
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.13 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.52
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fakel / FT Fakel✓
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.19
–
Form
Fakel
No recent results on record.
Ural
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Ural.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Fakel vs Ural?
On our numbers Fakel have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ural 33%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Ural?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Ural?
Our predicted score is Fakel 1–0 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Ural?
Fakel vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
