FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Lima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Alianza Lima to win @ 1.81 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Lima to win ✗64% · @1.81
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.90
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees FC Cajamarca take on Alianza Lima on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. FC Cajamarca are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Alianza Lima sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Cajamarca's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Alianza Atletico 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Alianza Lima's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Lima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for FC Cajamarca and 1.8 for Alianza Lima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cajamarca 15%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 64%.
Safer route: Alianza Lima or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Alianza Lima to win at 1.81 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Lima or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Cajamarca 0–1 Alianza Lima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cajamarca15%fair 6.79 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Alianza Lima64%fair 1.56 · @1.81
2.53Expected goals
0.71FC Cajamarca xG
1.81Alianza Lima xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 0.7 – 1.8 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✗
64%
1.56
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.90
–
Form
FC Cajamarca – last 6
DWLLLL
24 May
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
8 May
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Cusco
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza Lima – last 6
WWDWWW
24 May
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3–0
W
16 May
@ Cienciano
1–0
W
10 May
vs Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
3 May
vs UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Cusco
8–0
W
14 Apr
@ ADT
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cajamarca and Alianza Lima.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Alianza Lima or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Lima 64%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 0–1 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
