Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultFBC Melgar to win41% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 9.61

Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar preview and prediction

The match

Comerciantes Unidos host FBC Melgar in the Primera División on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 21:15 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Comerciantes Unidos are 13th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while FBC Melgar sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Comerciantes Unidos's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Cienciano 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.

FBC Melgar's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat UTC Cajamarca 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.3 for FBC Melgar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Comerciantes Unidos 35%, draw 24%, FBC Melgar 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 FBC Melgar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Comerciantes Unidos35%fair 2.85 · @2.72

Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.35

FBC Melgar41%fair 2.43 · @2.50

2.56Expected goals

1.21Comerciantes Unidos xG

1.34FBC Melgar xG

56%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–110%

1–09%

1–28%

0–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.2 – 1.3 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FBC Melgar to win	41%	2.43	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win	76%	1.31	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	56%	1.80	1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.41	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	54%	1.85	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	75%	1.34	1.25
Half-time result	Level at half-time	44%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar	23%	4.34	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1	10%	9.61	–

Form

Comerciantes Unidos – last 6

LWDWWL

2 May	@ Cienciano	0–1	L
22 Apr	vs Alianza Atletico	1–0	W
5 Apr	@ Sport Huancayo	1–1	D
13 Mar	@ FC Cajamarca	4–3	W
1 Mar	vs Atletico Grau	3–1	W
23 Feb	@ Cusco	1–3	L

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

FBC Melgar – last 6

WLWWDD

4 May	vs UTC Cajamarca	2–0	W
28 Apr	@ Deportivo Garcilaso	0–1	L
19 Apr	vs Universitario	2–1	W
15 Apr	@ Sport Boys	3–1	W
20 Mar	@ ADT	1–1	D
15 Mar	vs Atletico Grau	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?

On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FBC Melgar 41%.

How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?

Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?

Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

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Exact outcomes