Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win @ 1.84 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Deportivo Los Chankas to win ✗63% · @1.84
Double chanceClub Deportivo Los Chankas or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.44
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso preview and prediction
The match
Club Deportivo Los Chankas host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División on Monday 4 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Los Chankas. Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Garcilaso sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Club Deportivo Los Chankas's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to ADT 0–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat FBC Melgar 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 0.8 for Deportivo Garcilaso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 63%, draw 20%, Deportivo Garcilaso 17%.
Safer route: Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win at 1.84 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Deportivo Los Chankas63%fair 1.59 · @1.84
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.50
Deportivo Garcilaso17%fair 5.83 · @4.20
2.60Expected goals
1.81Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
0.79Deportivo Garcilaso xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.8 – 0.8 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win✗
63%
1.59
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Club Deportivo Los Chankas ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Deportivo Los Chankas / FT Club Deportivo Los Chankas✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6
LWWWWW
27 Apr
@ ADT
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Atletico Grau
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Sport Huancayo
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6
WLLDLL
28 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Universitario
1–4
L
18 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Alianza Lima
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cusco
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Alianza Atletico
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Garcilaso 17%.
How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Los Chankas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
