Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Lima to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.80
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Lima to win63% · @1.80
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–118% · fair 5.55
Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Grau host Alianza Lima in the Primera División on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Alianza Lima sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Sporting Cristal 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Alianza Lima's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Cusco 8–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Lima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Atletico Grau and 1.6 for Alianza Lima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Grau 12%, draw 24%, Alianza Lima 63%.
Safer route: Alianza Lima or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Lima to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 0–1 Alianza Lima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau12%fair 8.04 · @4.75
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
Alianza Lima63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
2.20Expected goals
0.57Atletico Grau xG
1.63Alianza Lima xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 0.6 – 1.6 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
18%
5.55
–
Form
Atletico Grau – last 6
WLDWLL
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza Lima – last 6
WWLWDW
19 Apr
vs Cusco
8–0
W
14 Apr
@ ADT
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Universitario
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and Alianza Lima.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Alianza Lima to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza Lima 63%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 0–1 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima?
Atletico Grau vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
