Value bet: Cienciano to win @ 2.68 – our chance 45% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCienciano to win45% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.00
UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano preview and prediction
The match
Cienciano travel to Estadio Heroes de San Ramon in the Primera División on Sunday 26 April (17:00 WAT) to face UTC Cajamarca. UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Cienciano sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
UTC Cajamarca's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Sport Huancayo 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cienciano's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Cienciano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.6 for Cienciano. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: UTC Cajamarca 34%, draw 21%, Cienciano 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Cienciano to win at 2.68 – 45% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Cienciano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UTC Cajamarca34%fair 2.98 · @2.48
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Cienciano45%fair 2.20 · @2.68
2.94Expected goals
1.34UTC Cajamarca xG
1.61Cienciano xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.3 – 1.6 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win
45%
2.20
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.00
–
Form
UTC Cajamarca – last 4
DLDW
15 Apr
vs Sport Huancayo
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Universitario
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cienciano – last 6
LWWDWW
23 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Puerto Cabello
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Juventud
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs ADT
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and Cienciano.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cienciano 45%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?
UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
