Value bet: Juan Pablo II College to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCV Moquegua to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees UCV Moquegua take on Juan Pablo II College on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. UCV Moquegua are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Juan Pablo II College sit 9th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UCV Moquegua's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Sporting Cristal 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juan Pablo II College's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Alianza Lima 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for UCV Moquegua and 1.4 for Juan Pablo II College. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UCV Moquegua 40%, draw 24%, Juan Pablo II College 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Juan Pablo II College to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: UCV Moquegua 1–1 Juan Pablo II College. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCV Moquegua40%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Juan Pablo II College36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.88Expected goals
1.49UCV Moquegua xG
1.39Juan Pablo II College xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.5 – 1.4 Juan Pablo II College expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCV Moquegua to win✓
40%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCV Moquegua / FT UCV Moquegua✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
UCV Moquegua – last 4
WDWL
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Juan Pablo II College – last 3
LWW
22 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ ADT
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Grau
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCV Moquegua and Juan Pablo II College.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Juan Pablo II College 36%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–1 Juan Pablo II College, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
