Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 2.28 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✗48% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Atletico Grau take on Sporting Cristal on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Sporting Cristal sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sporting Cristal's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Cristal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Atletico Grau and 1.4 for Sporting Cristal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Sporting Cristal to win at 2.28 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau30%fair 3.35 · @3.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Sporting Cristal48%fair 2.09 · @2.28
2.49Expected goals
1.06Atletico Grau xG
1.43Sporting Cristal xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.1 – 1.4 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✗
48%
2.09
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.11
–
Form
Atletico Grau – last 6
LDWLLL
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting Cristal – last 6
LWLWWD
16 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs UCV Moquegua
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Carabobo FC
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and Sporting Cristal.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Cristal 48%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
