Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCusco to win ✓67% · @1.38
Double chanceCusco or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Cusco vs FC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
FC Cajamarca travel to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in the Primera División on Thursday 23 April (00:00 WAT) to face Cusco. Cusco are 10th with 24 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while FC Cajamarca sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cusco's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Alianza Lima 0–8 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
FC Cajamarca's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Cusco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Cusco and 0.8 for FC Cajamarca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cusco 67%, draw 23%, FC Cajamarca 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 56% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cusco 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cusco67%fair 1.50 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @4.45
FC Cajamarca10%fair 10.12 · @8.25
2.89Expected goals
2.13Cusco xG
0.76FC Cajamarca xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cusco 2.1 – 0.8 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Double chance
Cusco or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Half-time result
Cusco ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Form
Cusco – last 6
LLLLWW
19 Apr
@ Alianza Lima
0–8
L
14 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Flamengo
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Cienciano
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLLLL
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and FC Cajamarca.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cusco vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Cusco have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Cajamarca 10%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Cusco 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs FC Cajamarca?
Cusco vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
